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Congressman John Duncan

Representing the 2nd District of Tennessee

Social Security

Most people under 40 seem to realize that Social Security will not be much help to them when they retire because the terrible financial condition of the federal government will lead to huge benefit cuts or, more likely, great inflation of the money supply so the dollar will be worth much less.

Social Security’s Trustees have estimated that the program will run out of money and not be able to pay full benefits in 2033. 

In 1945, 10 years after Social Security was established, there were more than 40 workers contributing for each retiree receiving benefits. The worker-to-retiree ratio is less than 3.5 today and is projected to be only two workers for each retiree by 2030.

In addition to regular Social Security pensions, the federal government has whopping liabilities for disability payments, Medicare, Medicaid, military and civil service pensions, our rapidly-growing military budget, interest on the national debt, welfare and food stamps, and thousands of other programs, large and small.

The Associated Press reported recently that people retiring in 2012 were the first workers who on average would receive less in Social Security benefits than they had paid in. The report said that this was “an historic shift that will only get worse for future retirees.” The average worker retiring in 1960 got back seven times more in benefits than in taxes paid.

Because Social Security taxes are progressive, higher-income workers started getting less than they had paid in the 1990’s while some very low-income people will still get more for at least a few years. The Urban Institute said a married couple with average incomes who retired last year paid in $598,000 in Social Security taxes. The study said they will get back 556,000 if the husband lives to 82 and the wife to 85.

The Congress will simply print more and more money to keep from cutting Social Security payments, but the effect will be the same.

Anyone who hopes to receive any type of check from the federal government (Social Security or otherwise) a few years from now in dollars that have not been terribly inflated should start demanding that the federal government become much more financially conservative.

More on Social Security

October 19, 2015 In The News
There are millions of seniors whose only income is their Social Security check, or certainly that’s the major source of their income,” the Knoxville Republican said. “There are a lot of seniors out there that are hurting. And I just don’t think it’s accurate for the government to say that costs aren’t going up for these people.”
October 13, 2015 Press Release

WASHINGTON – Congressman John J. Duncan, Jr. (R-Tenn.) has introduced bipartisan legislation to create a special inflation rate for seniors, calling it a first step toward fixing the broken process used to determine annual Social Security raises.

The Consumer Price Index for Seniors Act (H.R.3074) would require the government to publish an accurate monthly inflation rate based on expenses that are typical for persons 62 years of age or older.

January 17, 2013 In The News
We will not survive if we become Democrats lite. It will not excite or inspire anyone if we base our party primarily on being able to run or manage big government better than the Democrats.
January 17, 2013 Editorials

The following article appeared in Human Events.

October 28, 2010 Press Release

Alexandria, VA – Legendary entertainer Pat Boone, spokesman for the 60 Plus Association, a national non-partisan senior citizens group, announced today that Congressman John Duncan (TN-02) has won the Association’s Guardian of Seniors’ Rights award. 

Boone, still performing at concerts, was a recording, movie and TV star second to none in the 1950s, 60s and 70s, and had 38 top 10 hits during his career. Now a national spokesman for 60 Plus, Boone labeled Duncan a “fighter for the elderly.”

June 30, 2010 Press Release

Statement of Rep. John J. Duncan, Jr. regarding H.R. 5305, the Consumer Price Index for the Elderly Act.

I would like to first thank Thair Phillips and Al Cors of RetireSafe for organizing this briefing. 

I also appreciate Dr. Donald Bruce from the University of Tennessee, which is in my district, for coming here and participating in this.

January 7, 2010 In The News
The federal government's announcement that Social Security recipients won't be getting a cost-of-living adjustment this year has led U.S. Rep. John J. Duncan Jr., R-Knoxville, to call for a better system of measuring seniors' actual expenses.